Difference between revisions of "WernerE.Univariate"

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(Created page with " ==Pop Quiz== ==Keywords== ==BattleTable== Based on past exams, the '''main things''' you need to know ''(in rough order of importance)'' are: * fact A... * fact B... :...")
 
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'''Reading''': BASIC RATEMAKING, Fifth Edition, May 2016, Geoff Werner, FCAS, MAAA & Claudine Modlin, FCAS, MAAA Willis Towers Watson
  
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'''Appendix E''':  Univariate Classification Example
  
 
==Pop Quiz==
 
==Pop Quiz==
  
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What happens when the CAS and SOA have a joint meeting? ''<span style="background-color: lightblue; border-radius: 5px;"> [https://www.battleacts5.ca/images/SOA_dancing.png Click for Answer]'' &nbsp; </span>
  
==Keywords==
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==Study Tips==
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{| class='wikitable' style="background-color: powderblue;"
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|-
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|| '''Alice's Pro-Tip''': Appendix E is mainly for review and extra practice for material covered in '''''[[Werner09.RiskClass | chapter 9]]''''' of the main part of the Werner.
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|}
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[https://www.battleactsmain.ca/battleacts5.ca/forum5/index.php?p=/categories/wernere-univariate<span style="font-size: 12px; background-color: lightgrey; border: solid; border-width: 1px; border-radius: 10px; padding: 2px 10px 2px 10px; margin: 0px;">'''Forum'''</span>] &nbsp; You can probably skip this chapter without missing anything. If you don't want to skip, spend 15 minutes looking over the 2-page exhibit ''(link further down.)'' It's a good, quick test to see if you have an overall understanding of the pure premium method. If you can understand the exhibit "at a glance" and see where all the different pieces fit, then you're ready to slay th beast.
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The exam problem in the BattleTable is also a good review and may take another 15 minutes to solve.
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'''Estimated study time''': 30 minutes
  
 
==BattleTable==
 
==BattleTable==
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Based on past exams, the '''main things''' you need to know ''(in rough order of importance)'' are:
 
Based on past exams, the '''main things''' you need to know ''(in rough order of importance)'' are:
  
* fact A...
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* same as ''[[Werner09.RiskClass#BattleTable | Pricing - Chapter 9 - Risk Classification (Univariate Methods)]]''
* fact B...
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* ''The exam problems below are for review if you'd like to attempt them.''
  
 
: {| class='wikitable' style='width: 1000px;'
 
: {| class='wikitable' style='width: 1000px;'
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|| [https://www.battleacts5.ca/pdf/Exam_(2018_1-Spring)/(2018_1-Spring)_(08).pdf <span style='font-size: 12px; background-color: yellow; border: solid; border-width: 1px; border-radius: 5px; padding: 2px 5px 2px 5px; margin: 5px;'>E</span>] <span style='color: red;'>'''(2018.Spring #8)'''</span>
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|| [https://www.battleacts5.ca/pdf/Exam_(2018_1-Spring)/(2018_1-Spring)_(12).pdf <span style='font-size: 12px; background-color: yellow; border: solid; border-width: 1px; border-radius: 5px; padding: 2px 5px 2px 5px; margin: 5px;'>E</span>] <span style='color: red;'>'''(2018.Spring #12)'''</span>
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|| [[Excel Practice Problems]]
 
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|| [https://www.battleacts5.ca/pdf/Exam_(2017_2-Fall)/(2017_2-Fall)_(21).pdf <span style='font-size: 12px; background-color: yellow; border: solid; border-width: 1px; border-radius: 5px; padding: 2px 5px 2px 5px; margin: 5px;'>E</span>] <span style='color: red;'>'''(2017.Fall #21)'''</span>
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|| [https://www.battleacts5.ca/pdf/Exam_(2016_1-Spring)/(2016_1-Spring)_(10).pdf <span style='font-size: 12px; background-color: yellow; border: solid; border-width: 1px; border-radius: 5px; padding: 2px 5px 2px 5px; margin: 5px;'>E</span>] <span style='color: red;'>'''(2016.Spring #10)'''</span>
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|| '''territorial relativities''' <br> - revenue-neutral change
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|| '''multivariate methods''' <br> - benefits <span style="color: red;">'''<sup>1</sup>'''</span>
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| style="background-color: lightgrey;" |
  
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|| [https://www.battleacts5.ca/pdf/Exam_(2017_1-Spring)/(2017_1-Spring)_(23).pdf <span style='font-size: 12px; background-color: yellow; border: solid; border-width: 1px; border-radius: 5px; padding: 2px 5px 2px 5px; margin: 5px;'>E</span>] <span style='color: red;'>'''(2017.Spring #23)'''</span>
 
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: <span style="color: red;">'''<sup>1</sup>'''</span> This answer to this questions is in ''[[Werner10.Multivariate#Multivariate_Methods | Pricing - Chapter 10 - Benefits of Multivariate Methods]]''.
|| [https://www.battleacts5.ca/pdf/Exam_(2016_1-Spring)/(2016_1-Spring)_(18).pdf <span style='font-size: 12px; background-color: yellow; border: solid; border-width: 1px; border-radius: 5px; padding: 2px 5px 2px 5px; margin: 5px;'>E</span>] <span style='color: red;'>'''(2016.Spring #18)'''</span>
 
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==In Plain English!==
|| [https://www.battleacts5.ca/pdf/Exam_(2015_1-Spring)/(2015_1-Spring)_(17).pdf <span style='font-size: 12px; background-color: yellow; border: solid; border-width: 1px; border-radius: 5px; padding: 2px 5px 2px 5px; margin: 5px;'>E</span>] <span style='color: red;'>'''(2015.Spring #17)'''</span>
 
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Below is a link to the complete Appendix E from Werner which is only 4 pages long.
|| [https://www.battleacts5.ca/pdf/Exam_(2014_1-Spring)/(2014_1-Spring)_(15).pdf <span style='font-size: 12px; background-color: yellow; border: solid; border-width: 1px; border-radius: 5px; padding: 2px 5px 2px 5px; margin: 5px;'>E</span>] <span style='color: red;'>'''(2014.Spring #15)'''</span>
 
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* There first 2 pages are just a review of chapter 9 material.
|| [https://www.battleacts5.ca/pdf/Exam_(2013_2-Fall)/(2013_2-Fall)_(20).pdf <span style='font-size: 12px; background-color: yellow; border: solid; border-width: 1px; border-radius: 5px; padding: 2px 5px 2px 5px; margin: 5px;'>E</span>] <span style='color: red;'>'''(2013.Fall #20)'''</span>
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* The last 2 pages show an example of the pure premium method
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It might be an idea to spend maybe 15 minutes reviewing the 2-page exhibit just to make sure you have a good overall understanding of the method. Don't spend too long here.
  
==In Plain English!==
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: [https://www.battleacts5.ca/pdf/Werner_(p411-414)_App_E_complete.pdf <span style="color: white; font-size: 12px; background-color: sandybrown; border: solid; border-width: 2px; border-radius: 10px; border-color: sandybrown; padding: 1px 3px 1px 3px; margin: 0px;">'''''EXAMPLE: &nbsp; Appendix E - Univariate Analysis - Complete'''''</span>]
  
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Slay the beast.
  
 
==POP QUIZ ANSWERS==
 
==POP QUIZ ANSWERS==
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This is what happens when actuaries stop working and ''[https://www.battleacts5.ca/images/SOA_dancing.png start partying!]'' It's not a pretty sight. :-)

Latest revision as of 15:22, 14 January 2021

Reading: BASIC RATEMAKING, Fifth Edition, May 2016, Geoff Werner, FCAS, MAAA & Claudine Modlin, FCAS, MAAA Willis Towers Watson

Appendix E: Univariate Classification Example

Pop Quiz

What happens when the CAS and SOA have a joint meeting? Click for Answer  

Study Tips

Alice's Pro-Tip: Appendix E is mainly for review and extra practice for material covered in chapter 9 of the main part of the Werner.

Forum   You can probably skip this chapter without missing anything. If you don't want to skip, spend 15 minutes looking over the 2-page exhibit (link further down.) It's a good, quick test to see if you have an overall understanding of the pure premium method. If you can understand the exhibit "at a glance" and see where all the different pieces fit, then you're ready to slay th beast.

The exam problem in the BattleTable is also a good review and may take another 15 minutes to solve.

Estimated study time: 30 minutes

BattleTable

Based on past exams, the main things you need to know (in rough order of importance) are:

  • The exam problems below are for review if you'd like to attempt them.
reference part (a) part (b) part (c) part (d)
E (2018.Spring #12) Excel Practice Problems
E (2016.Spring #10) territorial relativities
- revenue-neutral change
multivariate methods
- benefits 1
1 This answer to this questions is in Pricing - Chapter 10 - Benefits of Multivariate Methods.

In Plain English!

Below is a link to the complete Appendix E from Werner which is only 4 pages long.

  • There first 2 pages are just a review of chapter 9 material.
  • The last 2 pages show an example of the pure premium method

It might be an idea to spend maybe 15 minutes reviewing the 2-page exhibit just to make sure you have a good overall understanding of the method. Don't spend too long here.

EXAMPLE:   Appendix E - Univariate Analysis - Complete

Slay the beast.

POP QUIZ ANSWERS

This is what happens when actuaries stop working and start partying! It's not a pretty sight. :-)